Staff Notes Daily Announcements

Title: A glimpse of mid-century megadrought risk in low-warming scenarios from large ensemble, multi-model, observational, and paleoclimate perspectives

Speaker: Toby Ault, Cornell University

Date: Tuesday, 23 October 2018

Time: 11 am - 12 pm

*Refreshments at 10:45 am*

Location: Mesa Lab, Main Seminar Room, ML-132

Abstract: Megadroughts are prolonged periods of aridity that are as dry as on average as the decade-scale droughts of the 20th century, but much longer lasting. Because these events have been infrequent, even when considered over the past millennium, characterizing their risk in the future requires data from paleoclimate sources, statistical analysis of the historical record, and large ensembles of climate change projections. Previous work has suggested that under the most severe climate change trajectories, megadrought likelihoods are primarily governed by the regional response to forcing. Here, we evaluate the risk of multi-decadal megadrought across western North America using: (1) a statistical emulator of western North American hydroclimate, (2) regional paleoclimate reconstructions as benchmarks, and (3) climate change projections from several large ensembles. In terms of the most widely used reconstructed hydroclimate index -- the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) -- we find that state-of-the-art climate model simulations tend to underestimate the natural occurrence rate of 35-year and longer megadrought events. Accordingly, risk estimates of megadroughts in climate model ensembles alone are lower than they would be if these models exhibited decadal-to-centennial scale climate variations comparable in magnitude to paleoclimate reconstructions. The primary source of disagreement originates from the highly energetic variations in precipitation from tropical Pacific teleconnections in the models, causing large interannual swings in simulated regional hydroclimate. Ongoing experiments using idealized SSTs to force an atmosphere-only model may help reconcile paleoclimate and large ensemble perspectives on megadrought risk under the low levels of warming expected by mid-century, which is a time horizon highly relevant for water resource managers making strategic decisions today.

For more information, contact Teresa Foster, email teresaf@ucar.edu, phone: 303.497.1741

Posted by Teresa Foster at ext. 1741, teresaf@ucar.edu

Monday, October 22, 2018 to Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Greetings!

This is a friendly reminder that the on-site Ski Resort Discount Venue is October 22nd and October 23rd. 

Please come to the following site locations to view discounts for Copper Mountain, Steamboat, and Winter Park:

Monday, October 22nd 11:00AM - 1:30PM

Location: Mesa Lab Cafeteria

Tuesday, October 23rd 11:00AM - 1:30PM

Location: CG1 Lobby

*Below is a 48 hour promotion for Winter Park and Steamboat

The promotion begins at 8AM on October 22nd through Midnight on October 23rd!

So stock up on Steamboat’s 3 day passes and Winter Park’s 4 packs for your friends and family during this limited time offer.

Visit the Vendor Link for this special. Then enter the following promo codes during checkout to receive the special rates: Winter Park Code: 48hourwp Steamboat Code: 48hoursb

If you choose to order individual tickets, please send an email to Ellen Spitzbart espitzbart@winterpartresort.com. Please include your name, phone number and quantity of tickets with a minimum of 4 tickets for the individual promotion.

Questions: Contact Toni Wallace, twallace@ucar.edu, ext. 8716 or Evette Aragon, earagon@ucar.edu, ext. 8725.

Brought to you by EAC.

Posted by Evette Aragon at ext. 8725, earagon@ucar.edu

Monday, October 22, 2018 to Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Grief counseling will be available again this week to support employees who would like help processing the tragic news that NCAR Deputy Director Michael Thompson passed away unexpectedly on October 15.

Counselors from Cigna’s Employee Assistance Program (EAP) will be at the Mesa Lab and FL2 locations for voluntary, confidential group, individual, or small group drop-in open sessions to help us. If the counselor is not immediately available, there will be sign-up sheets at the Front Desks: Mesa Lab (call x 1126) and FL2 Front Desk (call x 8700).

Drop-In Open Sessions at FL2: Tuesday from 9:00 am - 3:00 pm in room 2006, and Wednesday from 9:00 am - 3:00 pm in room 3107. Contact, Lameece Erwin @ 720-772-0757.

Drop-In Open Sessions at Mesa Lab: Tuesday and Wednesday from 9:00 am - 3:00 pm in the ML Library, Contact Tom Cordova @ 505-660-9745.

As an employee, you can also access EAP’s standard services whenever you need. This service includes 24-hour, unlimited access to clinicians who can make referrals and deal with crises. It also includes five free in-person counseling sessions. The EAP staff can be reached at 1-888-371-1125.

More details about a memorial service will be available once we have them.  

Posted by Lameece Erwin at ext. 8711, LErwin@ucar.edu

Monday, October 22, 2018 to Wednesday, October 24, 2018

POSTPONED

Due to Michael's passing last Monday, Helen has requested we postpone her retirement party, originally scheduled for this afternoon.  The Directorate will send another announcement once a new date has been determined.

 

----------

On behalf of the NCAR Directorate, all staff are invited to a reception to celebrate Helen’s outstanding contributions to NCAR, UCAR and UCP. We hope you can join us and wish Helen the best on her next adventures!

Monday, October 22th

3:00 p.m.—5:00 p.m.

CG1 - Lobby (Patio weather permitting)

Posted by Konnie Phillips at ext. 1101, konnie@ucar.edu

Monday, October 22, 2018

Due to Michael's passing last Monday, Helen has requested we postpone her retirement party, originally scheduled for this afternoon.  The Directorate will send another announcement once a new date has been determined.

Posted by Konnie Phillips at ext. 1101, konnie@ucar.edu

Monday, October 22, 2018

Mark your calendars for UCAR's 2018 Free Onsite Seasonal Flu Vaccination Clinics offered through Maxim Healthcare Services. This event is open to UCAR employees, their spouses/partners and dependent (adult) children 18-26 years of age and retirees. For dependent children under 18 years of age, please consult their healthcare provider(s) for these services.

Seasonal flu vaccinations are free to eligible participants. For questions on whether the vaccine is appropriate for you or a family member, please contact your healthcare provider.   Please note that Flumist is not available for the 2018-2019 flu season.  The traditional Quadtrivalent flu vaccine will be available onsite this year.  It offers protection against four flu viruses that are expected to circulate throughout the flu season.

2018 Onsite/Walk-in Flu Vaccination Clinics Schedule (No registration or vouchers required):

    CG1-2503                          Monday, October 22, 9:00-11:30 am

    ML – Chapman Room    Thursday, November 1, 9:00-11:30 am

We're excited to introduce an expanded voucher program: Eligible participants who cannot attend any of the on-site clinics and/or who are out of state may receive a voucher to visit any Walgreens pharmacy throughout the United States.  Vouchers may be redeemed any time between October 15, 2018 - February 28, 2019 (or while supplies last).  For more information or to request a voucher, contact hrbenefits@ucar.edu.

Please note:  RAF and NWSC will not have on-site clinics but will instead receive vouchers to obtain a flu shot at a Walgreens of their choosing.

If you are not able to participate in either option above, flu vaccines are available through all UCAR health insurance plans as preventive care and paid at 100%.

This event is offered as a service and participation is voluntary. UCAR does not endorse or recommend any product or service associated with this event.

Posted by Laurie Carr at ext. 8702, lcarr@ucar.edu

Monday, October 22, 2018

Weather permitting, a contractor will be sealing cracks in the ML parking lot next week (10/22 through 10/26). The contractor will seal one portion of the lot per day, likely starting with the far south end near the loading dock. They will be closing each section with traffic cones early each morning, and they expect to be opening each section for use by around 10:00 a.m. each day.

The outer traffic lane around the lot will remain passable throughout the work.

Posted by David Maddy at ext. 1134, maddy@ucar.edu

Friday, October 19, 2018 to Friday, October 26, 2018

Do you struggle to intervene to intervene when you see something not going well? Do you avoid difficult conversations because you're not sure how to have them or are worried that they may backfire? 

UCAR's Office of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (ODEI) is rolling out monthly Bystander Intervention training to help prepare all staff for these kinds of conversations. Based on similar effective training in the university community and tested with external pilot groups, this training will help you to identify potential conflict, react effectively and safely when you see or hear something that makes you uncomfortable. This training will prepare you for effective ways to have these challenging conversations with supervisors, peers, and direct reports. this is a stand alone training, not part of any other trainine experiences, and no prior experience is needed. We welcome people from all job categories and levels of seniority at the organization. 

These will be held once a month for the foreseeable future. The planned dates are as follows, as long as interest remains high- we will add more sessions beyond May: 

  • Tuesday, November 6, 8am - 12pm, CG1 2126
  • Wednesday, December 5, 8am - 12pm, ML Damon Room
  • Thursday, January 3, 2019, 8am - 12pm, EOL Atrium
  • Friday, February 8, 2019, 12:30-4:30pm, CG1 2126
  • Monday, March 4, 2019, 12:30- 4:30pm, ML Damon Room
  • Monday, April 1, 2019, 8am - 12pm, CG1 2126
  • Thursday, May 2, 2019, 12:30 - 4:30pm, ML Damon Room

To sign up, log in to the EOD Training Catalog and search for "bystander intervention" 

If you have questions, contact Kristen Luna Aponte at kaponte@ucar.edu or x1657 

Posted by Kristen Aponte at ext. 1657, kaponte@ucar.edu

Thursday, October 18, 2018 to Wednesday, November 7, 2018

CISL Seminar Series

 

The Copernicus Climate Date Store

Baudouin Raoult European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

Copernicus is a European system for monitoring the Earth. The European Commission (EU) has entrusted ECMWF with the implementation of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). The Copernicus Climate Change service shall provide information to increase the knowledge base to support adaptation and mitigation policies. The Climate Data Store (CDS) is the cornerstone of the C3S infrastructure. It contributes to the provision of Essential Climate Variables (ECVs), climate analyses, projections and indicators at temporal and spatial scales relevant to adaptation and mitigation strategies for various sectoral and societal benefit areas.

The CDS is designed as a distributed system, providing improved access to existing datasets via a powerful service-oriented architecture. It offers seamless web-based and API-based search and retrieve facilities to access climate data and information. In addition, one of the major features of the CDS is the provision of a generic software toolbox that allow users to develop web-based applications that make use of all the datasets available in the CDS. The variety of data types, data formats, as well as large data volumes, makes their combined use highly challenging. The toolbox abstracts the physical location of the datasets, their access methods, formats, units, etc. allowing applications developers to focus on algorithms. The toolbox provides a series of tools that perform basic operations on the datasets, such as differences or re-gridding, as well as statistical computations such as means or standard deviations; tools can then be combined into more elaborated workflows, and present there results graphically on the CDS web site.

Biography

Baudouin has been working for ECMWF since 1989, and has been involved, amongst other, in the design and implementation of the ECMWF’s MARS archive (MARS), ECMWF’s data manipulation and visualization software (Metview) as well as ECMWF’s data portals and web based interactive charts. He has collaborated with NCAR to set up the operational exchange of TIGGE data,  and is member of the World Meteorological Organization’s Expert Team on the WMO Information System Centers. Baudouin is currently principal software architect and strategist at ECMWF, and is actually working on the implementation of the Copernicus Climate Data Store.

Refreshments will be served at 10:45 a.m.!

Monday, October 22, 2018 11:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m. Mesa Lab, Main Seminar Room (MSR)

Posted by Elizabeth Faircloth at ext. 1253, fair@ucar.edu

Tuesday, October 16, 2018 to Monday, October 22, 2018

Google has announced that the existing Team Drive membership roles will be given new names. Also, there will be a new role, Content Manager, with new access privileges available for Team Drive owners to assign. You may see the new names as early as this Wednesday while the new role will start to roll out to organizations next Monday, October 22nd.

“Full access” will now be known as “Manager.” “Edit access” will now be “Contributor.” “Comment access” will now be “Commenter.” “View access” will now be “Viewer.” 

These changes are not optional and will affect all Team Drives. However, current access privileges will not be changing for our Team Drive members, only the names of the roles. Team Drive and Drive File Stream users may wish to learn about the new Content Manager role. That information can be found at https://gsuiteupdates.googleblog.com/2018/09/new-content-manager-role-in....

For any questions or issues, please contact the CISL Help Desk at cislhelp@ucar.edu or x2400.

 

Posted by Gary Studwell at ext. 1815, studwell@ucar.edu

Tuesday, October 16, 2018 to Wednesday, October 31, 2018

Pages

Random Profile

Senior Scientist / Deputy Director, Research Applications Laboratory