Deterministic and stochastic tendency adjustments derived from data assimilation and nudging | Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society | 2024-03-27 |
Classification of warm-season precipitation in High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model forecasts over the contiguous United States | Monthly Weather Review | 2024-01-01 |
Earth System Predictability and Prediction (ESPP) | Day of Science & Discovery 2023 | 2023-09-05 |
Subseasonal representation and predictability of North American weather regimes using cluster analysis | Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems | 2023-04-01 |
Subseasonal Earth system prediction with CESM2 | Weather and Forecasting | 2022-06-01 |
A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Model Version 4.3 | NCAR Technical Note | 2021-07-20 |
A progress report on the development of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble | Weather and Forecasting | 2021-06-01 |
A stochastic parameter perturbation method to represent uncertainty in a microphysics scheme | Monthly Weather Review | 2021-05-01 |
How does El Niño-Southern Oscillation change under global warming — A first look at CMIP6 | Geophysical Research Letters | 2020-11-28 |
The value of initialization on decadal timescales: State-dependent predictability in the CESM decadal prediction large ensemble | Journal of Climate | 2020-09-01 |
Assessing the impact of stochastic perturbations in cloud microphysics using GOES-16 infrared brightness temperatures | Monthly Weather Review | 2020-08-01 |
Does ENSO regularity increase in a warming climate? | Journal of Climate | 2020-02-01 |
ENSO bimodality and extremes | Geophysical Research Letters | 2019-05-16 |
The Taiwan WRF Ensemble Prediction System: Scientific description, model-error representation and performance results | Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences | 2019-05-02 |
From reliable weather forecasts to skilful climate response: A dynamical systems approach | Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society | 2019-04-01 |
A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Model Version 4.1 | NCAR Technical Note | 2019-04-01 |
A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Model Version 4 | NCAR Technical Note | 2019-04-01 |
Stochastically perturbed parameterizations in an HRRR-based ensemble | Monthly Weather Review | 2019-01-01 |
On the dynamical mechanisms governing El Niño–Southern Oscillation irregularity | Journal of Climate | 2018-10-01 |
Systematic errors in weather and climate models: Nature, origins, and ways forward | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2018-04-01 |
The impact of stochastic parametrisations on the representation of the Asian summer monsoon | Climate Dynamics | 2018-03-20 |
The impact of stochastic physics on tropical rainfall variability in global climate models on daily to weekly time scales | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2017-06-16 |
A performance comparison between multiphysics and stochastic approaches within a North American RAP ensemble | Monthly Weather Review | 2017-04-01 |
Stochastic parameterization and El Niño-southern oscillation | Journal of Climate | 2017-01-01 |
Impact of a stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme on warm season convection-allowing ensemble forecasts | Monthly Weather Review | 2016-05-01 |
Diagnosing model errors from time-averaged tendencies in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model | Monthly Weather Review | 2016-02-01 |
Temperature extremes in the Community Atmosphere Model with stochastic parameterizations | Journal of Climate | 2016-01-01 |
Predictability of tropical cyclone intensity: scale-dependent forecast error growth in high-resolution stochastic kinetic-energy backscatter ensembles | Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society | 2016-01-01 |
A comparison of model error representations in mesoscale ensemble data assimilation | Monthly Weather Review | 2015-10-01 |
Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: Understanding performance improvements from model-error representations | Monthly Weather Review | 2015-04-01 |
Stochastic climate theory and modeling | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change | 2015-01-01 |
Representing forecast error in a convection-permitting ensemble system | Monthly Weather Review | 2014-12-01 |
New developments in the Data Assimilation Research Testbed [poster] | 93rd AMS Annual Meeting | 2013-01-06 |
Verfahren zur Berücksichtigung von Modellfehlern in der numerischen Wettervorhersage | Promet: Meteorologische Fortbildung | 2012-11-30 |
Systematic model error: The impact of increased horizontal resolution versus improved stochastic and deterministic parameterizations | Journal of Climate | 2012-07-01 |
Model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system: Stochastic versus multiphysics representations | Monthly Weather Review | 2011-06-01 |
The U.S. Air Force Weather Agency's mesoscale ensemble: Scientific description and performance results | Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography | 2011-05-01 |
Stochastic parametrization of multiscale processes using a dual-grid approach | Stochastic Physics and Climate Modeling | 2010-01-01 |
Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model | Stochastic Physics and Climate Modeling | 2010-01-01 |
A spectral stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme and its impact on flow-dependent predictability in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | 2009-03-01 |
A stochastic convective approach to account for model uncertainty due to unresolved humidity variability | Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres | 2008-09-16 |
Stochastic parametrization of multiscale processes using a dual-grid approach | Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Series A, Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences | 2008-07-28 |
Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model | Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Series A, Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences | 2008-07-28 |
Linear and nonlinear signatures in the planetary wave dynamics of an AGCM: Probability density functions | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | 2007-01-01 |
Predictability | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2005-12-01 |
Linking Nonlinearity and non-Gaussianity by the Fokker-Planck equation and the associated nonlinear stochastic mode | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | 2005-07-01 |
Linear and nonlinear signatures in the planetary wave dynamics of an AGCM: Phase space tendencies | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | 2005-06-01 |
Detection and Stochastic Modeling of Nonlinear Signatures in the Geopotential Height Field of an Atmospheric General Circulation Model | Asgard-Verlag | 2003-01-01 |
Consequences of nonlinearities on the low-frequency behavior of an AGCM [presentation] | 13th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics | 2001-06-06 |